{"id":97846,"date":"2017-09-18T09:37:22","date_gmt":"2017-09-18T07:37:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=97846"},"modified":"2017-09-18T09:37:22","modified_gmt":"2017-09-18T07:37:22","slug":"elbucsuzhat-a-300-forint-koruli-szinttol-az-euro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/elbucsuzhat-a-300-forint-koruli-szinttol-az-euro\/","title":{"rendered":"Elb\u00facs\u00fazhat a 300 forint k\u00f6r\u00fcli szintt\u0151l az eur\u00f3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Az Equilor Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. lakoss\u00e1gi \u00fczlet\u00e1g igazgat\u00f3ja szerint a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vben az eur\u00f3 \u00e1rfolyama maradhat a kor\u00e1bban megjel\u00f6lt 303-318 forintos s\u00e1vban, id\u00e9n a s\u00e1v er\u0151sebb fel\u00e9n (305), m\u00edg j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9n a gyeng\u00e9bbiken (312). Megk\u00e9rdezt\u00fck, mi \u00e1ll a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s h\u00e1tter\u00e9ben.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>A Magyar Nemzeti Bank mozg\u00e1stere viszonylag t\u00e1g, hiszen am\u00edg tart az Eur\u00f3pai K\u00f6zponti Bank eszk\u00f6zv\u00e1s\u00e1rl\u00e1si programja a likvidit\u00e1sb\u0151s\u00e9g adott, \u00e9s a kedvez\u0151 fundamentumok miatt folyamatosan er\u0151s\u00f6dik a forint, \u00edgy nemhogy szigor\u00edt\u00f3 l\u00e9p\u00e9sekre nincs sz\u00fcks\u00e9g, de a visszafogott infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 miatt ak\u00e1r tov\u00e1bbi (nemkonvencion\u00e1lis) monet\u00e1ris laz\u00edt\u00e1s is elk\u00e9pzelhet\u0151. Aktu\u00e1lisan most az a k\u00e9rd\u00e9s, hogy a jelenlegi forinter\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9si hull\u00e1m hol l\u00e9pi \u00e1t a jegybank ingerk\u00fcsz\u00f6b\u00e9t, \u00e9s hol van az az \u00e1rfolyamszint \u2013 els\u0151sorban az eur\u00f3val szemben \u2013 ahol el\u0151sz\u00f6r sz\u00f3beli intervenci\u00f3val pr\u00f3b\u00e1lj\u00e1k meg\u00e1ll\u00edtani a hazai fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6z er\u0151s\u00f6d\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00e9ts\u00e9gtelen, hogy a kor\u00e1bbiakn\u00e1l m\u00e1r j\u00f3val kisebb hangs\u00fallyal szerepel a forint\u00e1rfolyam a jegybank m\u00e9rleg\u00e9ben (2015-ben a deviza\u00e1rfolyam-v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sb\u00f3l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 eredm\u00e9ny 177,7 milli\u00e1rd forint volt, m\u00edg a nem realiz\u00e1lt deviza\u00e1rfolyam-eredm\u00e9ny miatti kiegyenl\u00edt\u00e9si tartal\u00e9k egyenlege 312,6 milli\u00e1rd forint, addig 2016-ban m\u00e1r csak 95,1 milli\u00e1rd, \u00e9s 182,5 milli\u00e1rd forint), a gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s kisz\u00e1m\u00edthat\u00f3s\u00e1ga, \u00e9s az export t\u00e1mogat\u00e1sa miatt 300-n\u00e1l jel\u00f6lhetj\u00fck meg azt a l\u00e9lektani hat\u00e1rt, ahol valamilyen beavatkoz\u00e1sra sor ker\u00fclhet. Az idei \u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3 eur\u00f3-forint el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t az Equilor v\u00e1ltozatlanul, 305-\u00f6n hagyja, a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vit cs\u00f6kkenti 312-re. A doll\u00e1rral szemben az idei \u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3t 277,27-re, a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vit 271,30-ra cs\u00f6kkentett\u00e9k.<\/p><div id=\"gazda-1967122306\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>(forr\u00e1s: Equilor Befektet\u00e9si Zrt.)<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"509\" height=\"319\" src=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\/iframe.php?id=11318\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><br \/>Forr\u00e1s: <a href=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\" style=\"color: #df1100; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gazdas\u00e1gTV.hu<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az Equilor Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. lakoss\u00e1gi \u00fczlet\u00e1g igazgat\u00f3ja szerint a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vben az eur\u00f3 \u00e1rfolyama maradhat a kor\u00e1bban megjel\u00f6lt 303-318 forintos s\u00e1vban, id\u00e9n a s\u00e1v er\u0151sebb fel\u00e9n (305), m\u00edg j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9n a gyeng\u00e9bbiken (312). Megk\u00e9rdezt\u00fck, mi \u00e1ll a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s h\u00e1tter\u00e9ben.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":71324,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[146,4,10,19],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97846"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=97846"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97846\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":97847,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/97846\/revisions\/97847"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/71324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=97846"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=97846"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=97846"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}