{"id":95452,"date":"2017-07-17T10:54:21","date_gmt":"2017-07-17T08:54:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=95452"},"modified":"2017-07-17T10:54:21","modified_gmt":"2017-07-17T08:54:21","slug":"az-eros-forint-miatt-akar-meg-is-lepheti-a-piacot-az-mnb-a-heten","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/az-eros-forint-miatt-akar-meg-is-lepheti-a-piacot-az-mnb-a-heten\/","title":{"rendered":"Az er\u0151s forint miatt ak\u00e1r meg is lepheti a piacot az MNB a h\u00e9ten"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>K\u00e9t nappal az EKB hasonl\u00f3 esem\u00e9nye el\u0151tt kamatd\u00f6nt\u00e9st \u00fcl a Magyar Nemzeti Bank is. A monet\u00e1ris politik\u00e1ban nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 komolyabb fejlem\u00e9ny. Arra van n\u00e9mi es\u00e9ly, hogy az inlf\u00e1ci\u00f3 okozta er\u0151s forint zavarja a jegybankot \u00e9s emiatt v\u00e1ltoztathat a h\u00e1rom h\u00f3napos bet\u00e9ti aukci\u00f3 m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9n.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>Az el\u0151z\u0151 kamatd\u00f6nt\u00e9s \u00f3ta nem t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt \u00e9rdemi v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s a makro k\u00f6rnyezetben. A havi adatok alapj\u00e1n a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s tov\u00e1bbra is robosztus, a munkaer\u0151-piaci kond\u00edci\u00f3k tov\u00e1bbra is feszesek. A maginfl\u00e1ci\u00f3 egy \u00e9ve lass\u00fa \u00fctemben emelkedik (j\u00faniusban 2,4% volt), azonban a headline infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 az energia\u00e1rak cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se miatt 2% al\u00e1 cs\u00f6kkent, ami j\u00f3csk\u00e1n elmarad az MNB infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s c\u00e9lj\u00e1t\u00f3l.<\/p>\n<p>Ennek ellen\u00e9re nem sz\u00e1m\u00edthatunk arra, hogy az MNB \u00fajraind\u00edtan\u00e1 a kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9si ciklust, mivel az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 es\u00e9se \u00e1tmeneti t\u00e9nyez\u0151knek k\u00f6sz\u00f6nhet\u0151, r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul a maginfl\u00e1ci\u00f3 emelked\u0151 p\u00e1ly\u00e1n mozog. Azonban a cs\u00f6kken\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 miatt 307 al\u00e1 er\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 forint n\u00e9mileg zavarhatja a jegybankot, mivel az EURHUF \u00e1rfolyam az \u00e1ltala prefer\u00e1lt 310 k\u00f6r\u00fcli szint alatt tart\u00f3zkodik. Az el\u0151z\u0151 kamatd\u00f6nt\u00e9s \u00f3ta eltelt id\u0151ben a forintlikvidit\u00e1st ny\u00fajt\u00f3 \u00e9s \u00edgy k\u00f6zvetve \u00e1rfolyamgyeng\u00edt\u0151 hat\u00e1s\u00fa FX-swapok \u00e1llom\u00e1nya nem v\u00e1ltozott, a meg\u00faj\u00edt\u00e1s sor\u00e1n az MNB folytatta az eddigi strat\u00e9gi\u00e1j\u00e1t, hogy a r\u00f6videbb futamidej\u0171 FX-swapokat fokozatosan hosszabbakra cser\u00e9li le.<\/p><div id=\"gazda-2204839923\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>A heti \u00fcl\u00e9sen a jegybank legfeljebb a kamatd\u00f6nt\u0151 \u00fcl\u00e9s ut\u00e1ni k\u00f6zlem\u00e9ny hangv\u00e9tel\u00e9n v\u00e1ltoztathat kism\u00e9rt\u00e9kben, valamint a szerdai 3 h\u00f3napos jegybanki bet\u00e9t aukci\u00f3j\u00e1n a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l kevesebb bet\u00e9tet fogadhat be<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"509\" height=\"319\" src=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\/iframe.php?id=11230\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><br \/>Forr\u00e1s: <a href=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\" style=\"color: #df1100; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gazdas\u00e1gTV.hu<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>K\u00e9t nappal az EKB hasonl\u00f3 esem\u00e9nye el\u0151tt kamatd\u00f6nt\u00e9st \u00fcl a Magyar Nemzeti Bank is. A monet\u00e1ris politik\u00e1ban nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 komolyabb fejlem\u00e9ny. Arra van n\u00e9mi es\u00e9ly, hogy az inlf\u00e1ci\u00f3 okozta er\u0151s forint zavarja a jegybankot \u00e9s emiatt v\u00e1ltoztathat a h\u00e1rom h\u00f3napos bet\u00e9ti aukci\u00f3 m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":677,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[146,4,19],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95452"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95452"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95452\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":95453,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95452\/revisions\/95453"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95452"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95452"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95452"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}