{"id":90538,"date":"2017-02-27T15:05:03","date_gmt":"2017-02-27T14:05:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=90538"},"modified":"2017-02-27T15:05:03","modified_gmt":"2017-02-27T14:05:03","slug":"a-technikai-kep-szerint-a-forint-gyengulni-fog-rovid-tavon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/a-technikai-kep-szerint-a-forint-gyengulni-fog-rovid-tavon\/","title":{"rendered":"A technikai k\u00e9p szerint a forint gyeng\u00fclni fog r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/forint1.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/forint1.jpg\" alt=\"forint1\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-43887\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/forint1.jpg 600w, https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/forint1-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><strong>A p\u00e9nteki S&#038;P d\u00f6nt\u00e9s \u00e9rtelm\u00e9ben, haz\u00e1nk BBB- ad\u00f3sbesorol\u00e1sa meg lett er\u0151s\u00edtve stabil kil\u00e1t\u00e1ssal. A forintot nem hatotta meg az esem\u00e9ny, de a technikai k\u00e9p szerint ink\u00e1bb gyeng\u00fclni fog a hazai eszk\u00f6z &#8211; v\u00e9li Varga Zolt\u00e1n, az Equilor Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. elemz\u0151je.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>A S&#038;P hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 szerint id\u00e9n 3% k\u00f6r\u00fcli, a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00e1rom \u00e9vben pedig 2,5% k\u00f6r\u00fcli gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9st v\u00e1r. Az \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g 2020-ig a GDP 65%-\u00e1ra cs\u00f6kkenhet, amennyiben ez a folyamat gyorsabb lesz, \u00fajabb felmin\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>Holnap d\u00e9lut\u00e1n az MNB \u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re figyel\u00fcnk: mivel a decemberi int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket majd csak m\u00e1rciusban \u00e9rt\u00e9kelik, val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171 &#8222;pro-forma \u00fcl\u00e9s&#8221; lesz a holnapi. A d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3k kommunik\u00e1ci\u00f3ja azonban m\u00e1r most v\u00e1ltozhat. V\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sunk szerint m\u00e1rciusban az ir\u00e1nyad\u00f3 h\u00e1rom h\u00f3napos bet\u00e9ti eszk\u00f6z fels\u0151 limitj\u00e9t tov\u00e1bbi 100-150 milli\u00e1rd forinttal (600-650 milli\u00e1rd forintra) cs\u00f6kkenti a jegybank a m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3an.<\/p><div id=\"gazda-497828612\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>\u0171<\/p>\n<p>A forint nem reag\u00e1lt \u00e9rdemben a h\u00edrekre, azonban a technikai k\u00e9p alapj\u00e1n a hazai fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6z gyeng\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edtunk r\u00f6vid t\u00e1von.<\/p>\n<p>Az eur\u00f3-forint \u00e1rfolyama egy fontos emelked\u0151 trendvonalr\u00f3l fordult az elm\u00falt napokban, mely fontos t\u00e1maszt jelent tov\u00e1bbra is, 307,50 k\u00f6zel\u00e9ben. A k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 fontos ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1si szint a pirossal jelzett cs\u00f6kken\u0151 trendvonal, illetve a 30 napos mozg\u00f3\u00e1tlag 308,80-n\u00e1l, szignifik\u00e1ns \u00e1tt\u00f6r\u00e9s eset\u00e9n 310-ig nincs akad\u00e1ly az emelked\u00e9sben.<\/p>\n<p>A doll\u00e1r-forint grafikonja is emelked\u00e9sre utal, a 292,50-n\u00e9l h\u00faz\u00f3d\u00f3 ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1si szint \u00e1tt\u00f6r\u00e9se eset\u00e9n komoly t\u00e9r ny\u00edlhat felfel\u00e9, r\u00e1ad\u00e1sul egy ford\u00edtott fej \u00e9s v\u00e1llak alakzat is l\u00e1that\u00f3, melynek a nyakvonala a jelzett szintn\u00e9l h\u00faz\u00f3dik, az alakzati c\u00e9l\u00e1rfolyam kit\u00f6r\u00e9s eset\u00e9n 298-ra mutatna.<br \/>\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"509\" height=\"319\" src=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\/iframe.php?id=10984\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><br \/>Forr\u00e1s: <a href=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\" style=\"color: #df1100; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gazdas\u00e1gTV.hu<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A p\u00e9nteki S&#038;P d\u00f6nt\u00e9s \u00e9rtelm\u00e9ben, haz\u00e1nk BBB- ad\u00f3sbesorol\u00e1sa meg lett er\u0151s\u00edtve stabil kil\u00e1t\u00e1ssal. A forintot nem hatotta meg az esem\u00e9ny, de a technikai k\u00e9p szerint ink\u00e1bb gyeng\u00fclni fog a hazai eszk\u00f6z &#8211; v\u00e9li Varga Zolt\u00e1n, az Equilor Befektet\u00e9si Zrt. elemz\u0151je.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43887,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[403,146,10],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90538"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=90538"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90538\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":90539,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/90538\/revisions\/90539"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43887"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=90538"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=90538"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=90538"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}