{"id":86560,"date":"2016-11-12T15:43:21","date_gmt":"2016-11-12T14:43:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=86560"},"modified":"2016-11-12T08:24:18","modified_gmt":"2016-11-12T07:24:18","slug":"felminositette-ukrajnat-a-fitch-ratings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/felminositette-ukrajnat-a-fitch-ratings\/","title":{"rendered":"Felmin\u0151s\u00edtette Ukrajn\u00e1t a Fitch Ratings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Jav\u00edtotta Ukrajna \u00e1llamad\u00f3s-besorol\u00e1s\u00e1t p\u00e9nteken a Fitch Ratings, els\u0151sorban a k\u00fcls\u0151 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si nyom\u00e1s enyh\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9vel indokolva a l\u00e9p\u00e9st.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>    A nemzetk\u00f6zi hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 p\u00e9ntek este Londonban bejelentette, hogy a deviz\u00e1ban \u00e9s belf\u00f6ldi valut\u00e1ban kibocs\u00e1tott hossz\u00fa futamidej\u0171 ukr\u00e1n \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g oszt\u00e1lyzat\u00e1t, valamint a kereskedelmi ad\u00f3sok min\u0151s\u00edt\u00e9s\u00e9nek fels\u0151 hat\u00e1r\u00e1t jelent\u0151 oszt\u00e1lyzati orsz\u00e1gplafont az eddigi &#8222;CCC&#8221;-r\u0151l &#8222;B m\u00ednusz&#8221;-ra, a r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa szuver\u00e9n k\u00f6tv\u00e9nyk\u00f6telezetts\u00e9gek besorol\u00e1s\u00e1t &#8222;C&#8221;-r\u0151l &#8222;B&#8221;-re emelte.<br \/>\n    Az \u00faj hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa ad\u00f3soszt\u00e1lyzat kil\u00e1t\u00e1sa stabil, de a besorol\u00e1s tov\u00e1bbra is m\u00e9lyen a spekulat\u00edv s\u00e1vban, vagyis messze a befektet\u00e9si aj\u00e1nl\u00e1s\u00fa kateg\u00f3ria alatt van.<br \/>\n    Ukrajn\u00e1ra a m\u00e1sik k\u00e9t nagy hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 is rendk\u00edv\u00fcl gyenge ad\u00f3sbesorol\u00e1s\u00e1t tart \u00e9rv\u00e9nyben. A Standard &#038; Poor&#8217;s &#8222;B m\u00ednusz&#8221;, a Moody&#8217;s Investors Service enn\u00e9l is j\u00f3val alacsonyabb, &#8222;Caa3&#8221; oszt\u00e1lyzattal tartja nyilv\u00e1n a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa ukr\u00e1n \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1got.<br \/>\n    A Fitch Ratings az ukr\u00e1n ad\u00f3soszt\u00e1lyzat jav\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1nak indokl\u00e1s\u00e1ban kiemelte, hogy enyh\u00fclt az Ukrajn\u00e1ra nehezed\u0151 k\u00fcls\u0151 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si nyom\u00e1s, miut\u00e1n a devizatartal\u00e9kok az idei \u00e9v els\u0151 t\u00edz h\u00f3napj\u00e1ban 2 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rral 15,5 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rra emelkedtek. Ez a tartal\u00e9k hozz\u00e1vet\u0151leg 3,5 havi foly\u00f3 k\u00fcls\u0151 fizet\u00e9si k\u00f6telezetts\u00e9ggel egyenl\u0151.<br \/>\n    A Fitch hangs\u00falyozza ugyanakkor, hogy a likvidit\u00e1si r\u00e1ta tov\u00e1bbra is gyenge, a &#8222;B&#8221; kateg\u00f3ri\u00e1s szuver\u00e9n ad\u00f3sokra jellemz\u0151 medi\u00e1n\u00e9rt\u00e9kt\u0151l is j\u00f3val elmarad.<br \/>\n    A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 szerint a k\u00fcls\u0151 hitelez\u0151kkel szembeni t\u00f6rleszt\u00e9si k\u00f6telezetts\u00e9gek kezelhet\u0151k, \u00e9s a hazai ad\u00f3ss\u00e1g meg\u00faj\u00edt\u00e1si kock\u00e1zatai sem nagyok, mivel a bels\u0151 k\u00f6telezetts\u00e9gek \u00e1llom\u00e1ny\u00e1nak 91 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka a jegybank \u00e9s \u00e1llami tulajdon\u00fa bankok portfoli\u00f3iban van.<br \/>\n    A foly\u00f3m\u00e9rleg-egyenleg hi\u00e1nya v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelten emelkedik az id\u00e9n, \u00e9s el\u00e9ri a hazai \u00f6sszterm\u00e9k (GDP) 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1t a tavalyi 0,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l, a 2018-ig terjed\u0151 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9si id\u0151szakban pedig val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg megk\u00f6zel\u00edti a 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot. Mindazon\u00e1ltal a k\u00e9t- \u00e9s t\u00f6bboldal\u00fa finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si meg\u00e1llapod\u00e1sok, valamint a hazai \u00fczleti bizalom javul\u00e1sa &#8211; amely seg\u00edti a nett\u00f3 t\u0151ke\u00e1raml\u00e1st &#8211; a 2017-2018-as id\u0151szakban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an \u00e1tlagosan 2,3 milli\u00e1rd doll\u00e1rral tov\u00e1bb n\u00f6veli a devizatartal\u00e9kot &#8211; \u00e1ll a Fitch Ratings elemz\u00e9s\u00e9ben.<br \/>\n    A hitelmin\u0151s\u00edt\u0151 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint az idei \u00e1tlagos infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 14,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra lassul a tavaly m\u00e9rt 48,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l, de \u00edgy is messze meghaladja &#8222;B&#8221; oszt\u00e1lyzati s\u00e1vban nyilv\u00e1ntartott szuver\u00e9n ad\u00f3sok medi\u00e1n\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9t, amely 4,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k.<br \/>\n    Az \u00e1llamad\u00f3ss\u00e1g-r\u00e1ta a Fitch progn\u00f3zisa szerint a GDP-\u00e9rt\u00e9k 74 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k\u00e1ra emelkedik a tavalyi 67 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l, a gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s \u00fcteme ugyanakkor 2017-ben 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra, 2018-ban 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra gyorsul az idei \u00e9vre v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 1,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l.<br \/>\n    A bankszektor stabiliz\u00e1l\u00f3dott, de tov\u00e1bbra is kock\u00e1zatot jelent a re\u00e1lgazdas\u00e1gi stabilit\u00e1sra, mivel t\u0151keell\u00e1totts\u00e1ga alacsony, \u00e9s a nem teljes\u00edt\u0151 kinnlev\u0151s\u00e9gek ar\u00e1nya 50 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k felett j\u00e1r &#8211; \u00e1ll a Fitch p\u00e9nteki londoni elemz\u00e9s\u00e9ben.(MTI)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jav\u00edtotta Ukrajna \u00e1llamad\u00f3s-besorol\u00e1s\u00e1t p\u00e9nteken a Fitch Ratings, els\u0151sorban a k\u00fcls\u0151 finansz\u00edroz\u00e1si nyom\u00e1s enyh\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9vel indokolva a l\u00e9p\u00e9st.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[246],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86560"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86560"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":86561,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86560\/revisions\/86561"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}