{"id":83741,"date":"2016-08-23T14:39:51","date_gmt":"2016-08-23T12:39:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=83741"},"modified":"2016-08-23T14:39:51","modified_gmt":"2016-08-23T12:39:51","slug":"nyakunkon-az-inflacio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/nyakunkon-az-inflacio\/","title":{"rendered":"Nyakunkon az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Az olaj\u00e1rak zuhan\u00e1sa m\u00e1r mindenki el\u0151tt ismert. A k\u00e9rd\u00e9s ez\u00e9rt az: meddig tartja nyom\u00e1s alatt ez a t\u00e9nyez\u0151 az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s mutat\u00f3kat idehaza \u00e9s vil\u00e1gszerte? A K&amp;H Alapkezel\u0151 szakemberei erre kerest\u00e9k a v\u00e1laszt, az eredm\u00e9ny pedig l\u00e1tv\u00e1nyosan mutatja, hogy novembert\u0151l komoly felhajt\u00f3er\u0151t jelent majd az olaj\u00e1r az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mivel a havi f\u0151 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s adat 12 h\u00f3napra tekint vissza, \u00edgy a Brent k\u0151olaj eset\u00e9ben is 12 havi \u00e1rv\u00e1ltoz\u00e1st n\u00e9zt\u00fcnk, amit a k\u00e9k vonal mutat az al\u00e1bbi \u00e1br\u00e1n. L\u00e1that\u00f3, hogy a 25-50%-os zuhan\u00e1s hossz\u00fa ideig fenn\u00e1llt, ami a jegybank\u00e1roknak is komoly fejt\u00f6r\u00e9st okozott, mivel ekkora szembesz\u00e9lben nehezen \u00e9rik el az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s c\u00e9ljukat. A legfrissebb augusztusi adat m\u00e1r nagy ugr\u00e1st mutat: az 50 doll\u00e1ros olaj\u00e1r 20%-os n\u00f6veked\u00e9st jelent a tavaly ilyenkor 40 doll\u00e1ros k\u0151olaj \u00e1rhoz k\u00e9pest.<\/p><div id=\"gazda-2912394971\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>El\u0151retekintve k\u00e9t esetet vizsg\u00e1ltunk: a narancs vonal a \u201enem t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik semmi izgalmas\u201d verzi\u00f3, azaz a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 12 h\u00f3napban v\u00e9gig 50 doll\u00e1r k\u00f6r\u00fcl mozog majd a k\u0151olaj, m\u00edg a k\u00e9k vonal a \u201efokozatos emelked\u00e9s\u201d-t mutatja, vagyis lass\u00fa, minden negyed\u00e9vben 5 doll\u00e1ros emelked\u00e9s t\u00f6rt\u00e9nik, eg\u00e9szen 70 doll\u00e1ros olaj\u00e1rig.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Az eredm\u00e9ny el\u00e9g l\u00e1tv\u00e1nyos: novembert\u0151l t\u00f6bb h\u00f3napon kereszt\u00fcl er\u0151s\u00f6d\u0151 felfel\u00e9 h\u00faz\u00f3 er\u0151 az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra, amely a z\u00f6ld p\u00e1ly\u00e1n haladva m\u00e9g extr\u00e9mebb lehet, \u00e9s tart\u00f3san fennmaradhat. Hab\u00e1r az igazs\u00e1g nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel valahol a kett\u0151 k\u00f6z\u00f6tt lesz, az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 ennek megfelel\u0151en hamarosan vissza fog t\u00e9rni az 1-2%-os s\u00e1vba, ami a jegybanki politik\u00e1t \u00e9s az eg\u00e9sz k\u00f6tv\u00e9nypiacot is kih\u00edv\u00e1s el\u00e9 \u00e1ll\u00edthatja.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Az olaj\u00e1rak zuhan\u00e1sa m\u00e1r mindenki el\u0151tt ismert. A k\u00e9rd\u00e9s ez\u00e9rt az: meddig tartja nyom\u00e1s alatt ez a t\u00e9nyez\u0151 az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s mutat\u00f3kat idehaza \u00e9s vil\u00e1gszerte? A K&amp;H Alapkezel\u0151 szakemberei erre kerest\u00e9k a v\u00e1laszt, az eredm\u00e9ny pedig l\u00e1tv\u00e1nyosan mutatja, hogy novembert\u0151l komoly felhajt\u00f3er\u0151t jelent majd az olaj\u00e1r az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[19,246],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83741"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83741"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83741\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83742,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83741\/revisions\/83742"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}