{"id":80792,"date":"2016-06-10T17:21:33","date_gmt":"2016-06-10T15:21:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=80792"},"modified":"2016-06-10T17:21:33","modified_gmt":"2016-06-10T15:21:33","slug":"ha-a-fed-meglepi-a-piacokat-egy-korai-emelessel-jelentoset-mehet-felfele-a-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/ha-a-fed-meglepi-a-piacokat-egy-korai-emelessel-jelentoset-mehet-felfele-a-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Ha a FED meglepi a piacokat egy korai emel\u00e9ssel, jelent\u0151set mehet felfele a doll\u00e1r"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Nagy meglepet\u00e9st jelentene egy FED kamatemel\u00e9s a k\u00f6zelj\u00f6v\u0151ben, mivel a makrogazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6rnyezet nem megfelel\u0151 a l\u00e9p\u00e9shez. Az OTP elemz\u0151je szerint szeptemberben \u00e9s decemberben lesz 20-20 b\u00e1zispontos szigor\u00edt\u00e1s. Amennyiben m\u00e9gis megl\u00e9pik most, az jelent\u0151s doll\u00e1rer\u0151t hozhatna.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>A j\u00f6v\u0151 heti FOMC kamatd\u00f6nt\u0151 \u00fcl\u00e9sen t\u00f6bb okb\u00f3l sem sz\u00e1m\u00edtunk kamatemel\u00e9sre.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e1r az elm\u00falt hetekben t\u00f6bb Fed d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3 utalt ennek a lehet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9re, egyfel\u0151l, ahogy \u00e9v elej\u00e9n a k\u00ednai gazdas\u00e1got \u00f6vez\u0151 kock\u00e1zatok miatt halasztotta el a Fed kamatemel\u00e9st, \u00edgy most a j\u00fanius 23-ai brit kil\u00e9p\u00e9sr\u0151l sz\u00f3l\u00f3 n\u00e9pszavaz\u00e1s ad erre indokot, m\u00e1sfel\u0151l az amerikai gazdas\u00e1g jelenlegi teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye sem teszi elker\u00fclhetetlenn\u00e9 az emel\u00e9st. B\u00e1r az els\u0151 negyed\u00e9ves GDP-t felfel\u00e9 revide\u00e1lt\u00e1k \u00e9s Q2-ben is a gazdas\u00e1g tov\u00e1bbi javul\u00e1sa v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, de a vegyes munkaer\u0151-piaci adatok \u00e9s az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 alakul\u00e1sa sem teszik elengedhetetlenn\u00e9 a kamatemel\u00e9st.<\/p><div id=\"gazda-1716219370\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p>A kamat tart\u00e1sa eset\u00e9n a doll\u00e1r gyeng\u00fclhet az eur\u00f3val szemben, de jelent\u0151s mozg\u00e1sra nem sz\u00e1m\u00edtunk. Egy esetleges emel\u00e9s ugyanakkor j\u00f3kora meglepet\u00e9s lenne \u00e9s seg\u00edthetne \u00e1tt\u00f6rni az 1,11-es t\u00e1maszt. Erre ugyanakkor kev\u00e9s az es\u00e9ly.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"509\" height=\"319\" src=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\/iframe.php?id=10360\" style=\"border: none; overflow: hidden\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><br \/>Forr\u00e1s: <a href=\"http:\/\/gazdasagtv.hu\" style=\"color: #df1100; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gazdas\u00e1gTV.hu<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nagy meglepet\u00e9st jelentene egy FED kamatemel\u00e9s a k\u00f6zelj\u00f6v\u0151ben, mivel a makrogazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6rnyezet nem megfelel\u0151 a l\u00e9p\u00e9shez. Az OTP elemz\u0151je szerint szeptemberben \u00e9s decemberben lesz 20-20 b\u00e1zispontos szigor\u00edt\u00e1s. Amennyiben m\u00e9gis megl\u00e9pik most, az jelent\u0151s doll\u00e1rer\u0151t hozhatna.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":59667,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[146,10,8],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80792"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=80792"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":80793,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/80792\/revisions\/80793"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59667"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=80792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=80792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}