{"id":52236,"date":"2014-12-09T02:44:57","date_gmt":"2014-12-09T01:44:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/?p=52236"},"modified":"2015-02-23T17:26:25","modified_gmt":"2015-02-23T16:26:25","slug":"a-forint-lepcsonkent-ment-a-padlasra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/a-forint-lepcsonkent-ment-a-padlasra\/","title":{"rendered":"A forint l\u00e9pcs\u0151nk\u00e9nt ment a padl\u00e1sra, j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re ak\u00e1r a 340-350 forintos eur\u00f3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>\u201cA magyar gazdas\u00e1g id\u00e9n sz\u00e1mos region\u00e1lis \u00e9s glob\u00e1lis neh\u00e9zs\u00e9g k\u00f6z\u00f6tt igyekezett talpon maradni, \u00e9s ehhez a gazdas\u00e1gpolitika ir\u00e1ny\u00edt\u00f3i nem egyszer saj\u00e1ts\u00e1gos eszk\u00f6z\u00f6kh\u00f6z ny\u00faltak. A forint alakul\u00e1sa v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an j\u00f6v\u0151re is mag\u00e1n viseli a nyitott gazdas\u00e1g, a region\u00e1lis geopolitikai kitetts\u00e9g \u00e9s a lass\u00fa \u00fctem\u0171 eur\u00f3pai kil\u00e1bal\u00e1s kock\u00e1zatainak jegyeit.\u201d &#8211; hangzott el az Admiral Markets \u00e9v\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u0151 sajt\u00f3besz\u00e9lget\u00e9s\u00e9n.<\/strong><br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>J\u00f6v\u0151re is kitett marad a magyar fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6z<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_677\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/forint.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-677\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-677\" src=\"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/forint-300x187.jpg\" alt=\"forint\" width=\"300\" height=\"187\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/forint-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/forint.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-677\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">forint<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u201cA magyar gazdas\u00e1g sebezhet\u0151s\u00e9g\u00e9t \u00fagy lehet \u00e9rz\u00e9keltetni, hogy az eur\u00f3pai uni\u00f3n bel\u00fcli reped\u00e9sek miatt mi ak\u00e1r a bok\u00e1nkat is kificam\u00edthatjuk, m\u00edg m\u00e1sok ezt lehet hogy kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 s\u00ednylik meg. Mik\u00f6zben a gazdas\u00e1g r\u00e9szben fell\u00e9legezhet az \u00e9vek \u00f3ta nyomaszt\u00f3an hat\u00f3 deviza elad\u00f3sodotts\u00e1g terhe al\u00f3l, addig a gyenge \u00e9s rendre gyeng\u00fcl\u0151 forint elletnmond\u00e1sosan \u00e9rinti a gazdas\u00e1g szerepl\u0151it. A magyar gazdas\u00e1g kitetts\u00e9g\u00e9t a forint volatilit\u00e1sa, ingadoz\u00e1sai id\u00e9n is rendre megmutatt\u00e1k. Az \u00e9v eg\u00e9sz\u00e9t n\u00e9zve l\u00e1tszik, hogy ha nem is folyamatosan, de s\u00e1vosan rendre vesz\u00edtett \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9b\u0151l a magyar fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6z. Az elm\u00falt n\u00e9h\u00e1ny \u00e9vet tekintve pedig egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en meg\u00e1llap\u00edthatjuk: a forint l\u00e9pcs\u0151nk\u00e9nt megy a padl\u00e1sra.\u201d &#8211; \u00f6sszegezte a forint elm\u00falt \u00e9v\u00e9t P\u00f3sa Viktor, az Admiral Markets magyarorsz\u00e1gi partnere.<\/p><div id=\"gazda-1000028926\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div><div class=\"divider\"><\/div>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #800000;\"><strong>Ami az elk\u00f6vetkez\u0151 \u00e9vet illeti, az elemz\u0151k t\u00f6bbs\u00e9ge tov\u00e1bbi gyeng\u00fcl\u00e9st prognosztiz\u00e1l. Vannak hangok, amelyek j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9re ak\u00e1r a 340-350 forintos eur\u00f3 \u00e1rfolyamot sem z\u00e1rj\u00e1k ki.<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"clear\"><\/div><div class=\"divider\"><\/div>\n<blockquote><p><strong>\u201cMi a magunk r\u00e9sz\u00e9r\u0151l \u00f3vatosabbak vagyunk, legal\u00e1bbis f\u00e9l\u00e9v t\u00e1vlat\u00e1ban a 310-315 forint k\u00f6z\u00f6tti \u00e1rfolyamot tarthat\u00f3nak \u00edt\u00e9lj\u00fck. A kor\u00e1bban eml\u00edtett okok, vagyis a gazdas\u00e1g kitetts\u00e9ge miatt ez azonban nem v\u00e1laszthat\u00f3 el a region\u00e1lis \u00e9s glob\u00e1lis politika \u00e9s gazdas\u00e1g sz\u00e1mos elem\u00e9nek alakul\u00e1s\u00e1t\u00f3l, \u00edgy az amerikai Federal Reserve \u00e9s az EKB kamatpolitik\u00e1j\u00e1t\u00f3l, az ukr\u00e1n helyzett\u0151l, az orosz gazdas\u00e1g \u00e9s fizet\u0151eszk\u00f6z j\u00f6v\u0151j\u00e9nek alakul\u00e1s\u00e1t\u00f3l, az energiapiac v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sait\u00f3l. El\u00e9g ha csak arra utalunk, hogy a rubel f\u00e9l\u00e9v alatt \u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9nek a fel\u00e9t elvesztette az amerikai doll\u00e1rral szemben. Ha ez a folyamat tart\u00f3ss\u00e1 v\u00e1lik \u00e9s kileng\u00e9sb\u0151l \u00e1trendez\u0151d\u00e9ss\u00e9 v\u00e1lik, az kisz\u00e1m\u00edthatlan k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyekkel j\u00e1rhat Magyarorsz\u00e1g sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra is. \u201c<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8211; mondta Horv\u00e1th Zolt\u00e1n, az Admiral Markets vezet\u0151 elemz\u0151je.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPersze az \u00e1rfolyam alakul\u00e1sa elv\u00e1laszthatlan a jegybanki kamatszint, illlletve a gazdas\u00e1g teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny\u00e9nek j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vi v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1sait\u00f3l. A forint alapkamatj\u00e1nak szintj\u00e9t &#8211; a defl\u00e1ci\u00f3s vesz\u00e9lyek miatt &#8211; 2% al\u00e1 m\u00e1r nem val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edtj\u00fck, a gazdas\u00e1g b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9t illet\u0151en pedig az idein\u00e9l szer\u00e9nyebb m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u0171, de \u00e9rz\u00e9kelhet\u0151, 2-2,5% k\u00f6z\u00f6tti GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9st tartunk elk\u00e9pzelhet\u0151nek\u201d &#8211; z\u00e1rta P\u00f3sa Viktor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cA magyar gazdas\u00e1g id\u00e9n sz\u00e1mos region\u00e1lis \u00e9s glob\u00e1lis neh\u00e9zs\u00e9g k\u00f6z\u00f6tt igyekezett talpon maradni, \u00e9s ehhez a gazdas\u00e1gpolitika ir\u00e1ny\u00edt\u00f3i nem egyszer saj\u00e1ts\u00e1gos eszk\u00f6z\u00f6kh\u00f6z ny\u00faltak. A forint alakul\u00e1sa v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an j\u00f6v\u0151re is mag\u00e1n viseli a nyitott gazdas\u00e1g, a region\u00e1lis geopolitikai kitetts\u00e9g \u00e9s a lass\u00fa \u00fctem\u0171 eur\u00f3pai kil\u00e1bal\u00e1s kock\u00e1zatainak jegyeit.\u201d &#8211; hangzott el az Admiral Markets \u00e9v\u00e9rt\u00e9kel\u0151 sajt\u00f3besz\u00e9lget\u00e9s\u00e9n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":677,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[146,10],"tags":[154],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52236"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52236"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52236\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52239,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52236\/revisions\/52239"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52236"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52236"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52236"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}