{"id":28198,"date":"2014-02-19T07:47:24","date_gmt":"2014-02-19T06:47:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/?p=28198"},"modified":"2014-02-19T06:49:29","modified_gmt":"2014-02-19T05:49:29","slug":"technikai-elemzes-eurhuf-euroforint","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/technikai-elemzes-eurhuf-euroforint\/","title":{"rendered":"Technikai elemz\u00e9s &#8211; EUR\/HUF &#8211; Eur\u00f3\/Forint"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A Magyar Nemzeti Bank a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sokat t\u00falsz\u00e1rnyalva 15 b\u00e1zisponttal, rekord alacsony szint\u0171re (2,70%-ra) cs\u00f6kkentette ma a jegybanki alapkamatl\u00e1bat.<!--more--><\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"vid4u\"><\/div>\n<p><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\/\/ <![CDATA[\nvar rid = 100000 + Math.floor(Math.random()*99999); var b = document.createElement(\"div\"); b.setAttribute(\"id\", \"v4u_c_\"+rid+\"_3\"); var r = document.getElementById(\"vid4u\"); r.parentNode.insertBefore(b,r); r.setAttribute(\"id\", \"\"); (function(w, d, s, rid) { function go(){ var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0], load = function(url, id) { if (d.getElementById(id)) { d.getElementById(id).onload = d.getElementById(id).onreadystatechange = function() { if (typeof vid4u != 'undefined') vid4u.init(728,90,\"0scneAox4k\",null,3, rid);}; return; } js = d.createElement(s); js.src = url; js.id = id; fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs); js.onload = js.onreadystatechange = function() { if (typeof vid4u != 'undefined') vid4u.init(728,90,\"0scneAox4k\",null,3, rid); };}; load(\"\/\/video.vid4u.org\/vid4ul.js\", \"vjs_\"+rid); } go(); }(window, document, \"script\", rid));\n\/\/ ]]><\/script><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>A Magyar Nemzeti Bank a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sokat t\u00falsz\u00e1rnyalva 15 b\u00e1zisponttal, rekord alacsony szint\u0171re (2,70%-ra) cs\u00f6kkentette ma a jegybanki alapkamatl\u00e1bat. A piaci v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok szerint &#8211; a felt\u00f6rekv\u0151 piacokon a k\u00f6zelm\u00faltban v\u00e9gbement \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9s az ut\u00f3bbi k\u00e9t \u00e9v legalacsonyabb szintj\u00e9re nyomta a forintot &#8211; lass\u00edtott\u00e1k volna a (m\u00e1r egym\u00e1st k\u00f6vet\u0151 19 h\u00f3napon kereszt\u00fcl v\u00e9ghezvitt) kamatl\u00e1bcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s \u00fctem\u00e9t, valamint a k\u00e9thetes bet\u00e9ti kamatl\u00e1bat csup\u00e1n 10 b\u00e1zisponttal cs\u00f6kkentett\u00e9k volna, \u00e1m a Bank megtartotta janu\u00e1ri, 15 b\u00e1zispontos cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9si \u00fctem\u00e9t. Egy Bloomberg felm\u00e9r\u00e9s szerint a 23 megk\u00e9rdezett gazdas\u00e1gi szak\u00e9rt\u0151b\u0151l csup\u00e1n h\u00e1rom v\u00e9lte \u00fagy, hogy a cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s megfelelt az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9snek; 19 szakember 10 b\u00e1zispontos, egy pedig 5 b\u00e1zispontos cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9sre sz\u00e1m\u00edtott. A d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3k azzal \u00e9rveltek, hogy az orsz\u00e1gnak a GDP kb. 2,2%-\u00e1t kitev\u0151 foly\u00f3 fizet\u00e9si m\u00e9rleg-t\u00f6bblete \u00e9s nulla sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s r\u00e1t\u00e1ja a t\u00f6bbi felt\u00f6rekv\u0151 piacokbeli orsz\u00e1gt\u00f3l elt\u00e9r\u0151 kateg\u00f3ri\u00e1ba sorolja Magyarorsz\u00e1got, \u00e1m ezzel a piac nem \u00e9rt egyet. Szerint\u00fcnk a forint tov\u00e1bb gyeng\u00fcl, am\u00edg a Bank nem ad utal\u00e1st arra, hogy a k\u00f6nny\u00edt\u00e9si ciklus a v\u00e9g\u00e9hez k\u00f6zeledik.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/eurhuf_20140219.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-28199\" alt=\"eurhuf_20140219\" src=\"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/eurhuf_20140219.jpg\" width=\"644\" height=\"294\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/eurhuf_20140219.jpg 715w, https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/eurhuf_20140219-300x137.jpg 300w, https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/eurhuf_20140219-600x274.jpg 600w, https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/eurhuf_20140219-310x141.jpg 310w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 644px) 100vw, 644px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Az<strong>\u00a0EUR\/HUF\u00a0<\/strong>p\u00e1r rallyzott az int\u00e9zked\u00e9st k\u00f6vet\u0151en. A devizap\u00e1r febru\u00e1r 10. \u00f3ta a 307,60-as (T1) t\u00e1maszszint \u00e9s a 312,90-es (E1) ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1sszint k\u00f6z\u00f6tti tartom\u00e1nyban mozog. A n\u00f6vekv\u0151 trend m\u00e9g mindig \u00e9rv\u00e9nyben van, de valamelyest \u00f3vatosak vagyunk ezen a ponton, mivel k\u00e9tszer tesztelte a 312,90-es ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1sszintet, \u00e9s nem siker\u00fclt \u00e1tt\u00f6rnie azt. A tartom\u00e1ny fels\u0151 hat\u00e1ra \u00e9s a 313,95-\u00f6s (E2) maximum szint feletti egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171 z\u00e1r\u00e1s a k\u00e9k trendvonal \u00e1ltal jel\u00f6lt n\u00f6vekv\u0151 trend folytat\u00f3d\u00e1s\u00e1t jelezheti, \u00e9s megc\u00e9lozza a kor\u00e1bban eml\u00edtett tartom\u00e1ny 200%-os hosszabb\u00edt\u00e1si szintj\u00e9t a 318,00-as (E3) tartom\u00e1ny k\u00f6zel\u00e9ben. A cs\u00f6kken\u00e9st illet\u0151en a k\u00e9k trendvonal \u00e9s a 306,15-\u00f6s korl\u00e1t lefel\u00e9 t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 \u00e1tt\u00f6r\u00e9se negat\u00edvv\u00e1 teszi a r\u00f6vid t\u00e1v\u00fa kil\u00e1t\u00e1st.<\/li>\n<li>T\u00e1maszszint: 307,60 (T1), 306,15 (T2), 301,65 (T3).<\/li>\n<li>Ellen\u00e1ll\u00e1sszint: 312,90 (E1), 313,95 (E2), 318,00 (E3)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Magyar Nemzeti Bank a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sokat t\u00falsz\u00e1rnyalva 15 b\u00e1zisponttal, rekord alacsony szint\u0171re (2,70%-ra) cs\u00f6kkentette ma a jegybanki alapkamatl\u00e1bat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28199,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[10,7,131,122],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28198"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28198"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28198\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":28200,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28198\/revisions\/28200"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28199"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28198"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28198"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28198"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}