{"id":147148,"date":"2024-08-28T09:04:41","date_gmt":"2024-08-28T07:04:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=147148"},"modified":"2024-08-28T09:06:07","modified_gmt":"2024-08-28T07:06:07","slug":"15-ho-utan-tartott-szunet-a-jegybank","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/15-ho-utan-tartott-szunet-a-jegybank\/","title":{"rendered":"15 h\u00f3nap ut\u00e1n tartott sz\u00fcnetet a jegybank"},"content":{"rendered":"<h4 style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>A Monet\u00e1ris Tan\u00e1cs mai \u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9nek eredm\u00e9nyek\u00e9nt nem v\u00e1ltoztak a kamatkond\u00edci\u00f3k: a jegybanki alapkamat szintje tov\u00e1bbra is 6,75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k. A d\u00f6nt\u00e9s megfelelt az \u00e1ltal\u00e1nos elemz\u0151i v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1soknak.<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post2\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>A szok\u00e1soknak megfelel\u0151en az \u00fcl\u00e9st Vir\u00e1g Barnab\u00e1s aleln\u00f6k \u00e1ltal tartott sajt\u00f3t\u00e1j\u00e9koztat\u00f3 k\u00f6vette, melyen a jegybank tisztvisel\u0151je ismertette a d\u00f6nt\u00e9s h\u00e1tter\u00e9t. Az el\u0151retekint\u0151 ir\u00e1nymutat\u00e1s nem v\u00e1ltozott \u00e9rdemben a hetedik havihoz k\u00e9pest: \u201eA Tan\u00e1cs folyamatosan \u00e9rt\u00e9keli a be\u00e9rkez\u0151 makrogazdas\u00e1gi adatokat, az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s kil\u00e1t\u00e1sokat, valamint a kock\u00e1zati k\u00f6rnyezet alakul\u00e1s\u00e1t, amelyek alapj\u00e1n k\u00f6r\u00fcltekint\u0151en \u00e9s adatvez\u00e9relten d\u00f6nt az alapkamat m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9r\u0151l\u201d.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/mnb.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-1101\" src=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/mnb-300x187.jpg\" alt=\"mnb jegybank\" width=\"300\" height=\"187\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/mnb-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/01\/mnb.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>A kommunik\u00e1ci\u00f3 nem v\u00e1ltozott, ugyanakkor a j\u00faliusi, laz\u00e1bb l\u00e9p\u00e9s ut\u00e1n a mai ink\u00e1bb a szigor\u00fa oldalra sorolhat\u00f3, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen, hogy Vir\u00e1g Barnab\u00e1s jelenleg ink\u00e1bb egy vagy k\u00e9t tov\u00e1bbi v\u00e1g\u00e1st vet\u00edtett el\u0151re az idei \u00e9v h\u00e1tral\u00e9v\u0151 r\u00e9sz\u00e9re, sem, mint t\u00f6bbet. Ez egyr\u00e9szt az elm\u00falt id\u0151szakban tapasztalt, nagy jegybanki kamatp\u00e1ly\u00e1k m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151d\u00e9s\u00e9nek f\u00e9ny\u00e9ben \u00e9rdekes fejlem\u00e9ny volt, ugyanakkor az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s k\u00e9p bizonytalans\u00e1ga \u00e9s az \u00f3vatoss\u00e1ggal f\u00e9mjelzett monet\u00e1ris politika ok\u00e1n teljesen indokolt. A vizsg\u00e1lat al\u00e1 ker\u00fcl\u0151 t\u00e9nyez\u0151k alapj\u00e1n szeptemberben j\u00f3 es\u00e9llyel 25 b\u00e1zispontos v\u00e1g\u00e1s k\u00f6vetkezhet, ezen k\u00edv\u00fcl az \u00e9v v\u00e9g\u00e9ig tov\u00e1bbi egy laz\u00edt\u00e1st prognosztiz\u00e1lunk a kor\u00e1bbi v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sunk \u00e9s a mai kommunik\u00e1ci\u00f3nak megfelel\u0151en. Ezek eredm\u00e9nyek\u00e9nt az \u00e9v v\u00e9gi kamatszintet 6,25 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra v\u00e1rjuk.<\/p>\n<p>(<b>Nagy J\u00e1nos, makrogazdas\u00e1gi elemz\u0151 &#8211; Erste elemz\u0151i k\u00f6zlem\u00e9ny<\/b>)<\/p><div id=\"gazda-923112780\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Monet\u00e1ris Tan\u00e1cs mai \u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9nek eredm\u00e9nyek\u00e9nt nem v\u00e1ltoztak a kamatkond\u00edci\u00f3k: a jegybanki alapkamat szintje tov\u00e1bbra is 6,75 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k. A d\u00f6nt\u00e9s megfelelt az \u00e1ltal\u00e1nos elemz\u0151i v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1soknak.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001010,"featured_media":1101,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[436,19],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147148"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001010"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=147148"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147148\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":147151,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147148\/revisions\/147151"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1101"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=147148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=147148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=147148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}