{"id":121090,"date":"2019-11-06T11:34:11","date_gmt":"2019-11-06T10:34:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=121090"},"modified":"2019-11-06T11:34:11","modified_gmt":"2019-11-06T10:34:11","slug":"2020-tol-mar-kevesebb-ver-fog-folyni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/2020-tol-mar-kevesebb-ver-fog-folyni\/","title":{"rendered":"2020-t\u00f3l m\u00e1r kevesebb v\u00e9r fog folyni"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>A boltos elad\u00f3vad\u00e1szat nyom\u00e1n. L\u00e9tsz\u00e1mhi\u00e1ny lesz persze, az egyik pillanatr\u00f3l a m\u00e1sikra nem sz\u0171nik meg, de fojtogat\u00f3 ereje gyeng\u00fclni fog. M\u00e9g sz\u00e9p, hogy nem kar\u00e1csony el\u0151tt, de ut\u00e1na van r\u00e1 es\u00e9ly. Cs\u00f6kkent a boltos vil\u00e1g b\u00e9relmarad\u00e1sa, m\u00e1s \u00e1gazatokban esett az \u00fcres \u00e1ll\u00e1shelyek sz\u00e1ma, terjednek az \u00f6nkikassz\u00e1k.<\/strong><strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben felp\u00f6rg\u00f6tt a boltos vil\u00e1gban is a munkaer\u0151hi\u00e1ny. Nem egyik pillanatr\u00f3l a m\u00e1sikra, hanem fokozatosan, ezt pontosan mutatja a statisztika a bet\u00f6ltetlen, \u00fcres \u00e1ll\u00e1shelyek mutat\u00f3sz\u00e1m\u00e1val. A teljes kereskedelemben ez a mutat\u00f3 bizony a k\u00e9tszeres\u00e9re ugrott 2019-re, 2015 elej\u00e9hez k\u00e9pest. De a 2019 els\u0151 negyed\u00e9ves cs\u00facs m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9vre kopott valamelyest, pedig a kereskedelem leggyeng\u00e9bb id\u0151szaka az \u00e9v eleje:<\/p>\n<table style=\"font-weight: 400;\" width=\"545\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"106\"><strong>2015<\/strong><\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"105\"><strong>2016<\/strong><\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"94\"><strong>2017<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"49\"><strong>2018<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"50\">&nbsp;<\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"76\"><strong>2019<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"52\"><strong>I.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"54\"><strong>II.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"50\"><strong>I.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"55\"><strong>II.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"52\"><strong>I.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"42\"><strong>II.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"49\"><strong>I.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"50\"><strong>II.<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"54\"><strong>I.<\/strong>\u2191<\/td>\n<td width=\"22\"><strong>II.<\/strong><strong>\u2193<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"52\"><strong>2.945<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"54\"><strong>3.260<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"50\"><strong>3.819<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"55\"><strong>4.608<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"52\"><strong>5.465<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"42\"><strong>5971<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"49\"><strong>5.215<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"50\"><strong>5.701<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"54\"><strong>6.634<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"22\"><strong>6.264<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"10\" width=\"480\">KSH, \u00fcres \u00e1ll\u00e1shelyek sz\u00e1ma, negyed\u00e9ves adatok, teljes kereskedelem (nagy-, kis- \u00e9s j\u00e1rm\u0171kereskedelem egy\u00fctt), int\u00e9zm\u00e9nyi adatgy\u0171jt\u00e9s, mennyis\u00e9g: f\u0151<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>els\u0151 int\u0151 jel<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"gazda-25711346\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">De h\u00e1t a versenyszf\u00e9r\u00e1ban az \u00fcres \u00e1ll\u00e1shelyek mutat\u00f3sz\u00e1ma 2018 harmadik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9ben volt a cs\u00facson, 63 ezer f\u0151vel, ami 2019 m\u00e1sodik negyed\u00e9v\u00e9re 55 ezer f\u0151re cs\u00f6kkent. Ez nem kev\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A korm\u00e1ny \u00e9s a gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3k el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sei szerint is 2020-t\u00f3l valamelyest, ilyen, vagy olyan ar\u00e1nyban m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151dik a gazdas\u00e1g n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek \u00fcteme a jelenlegihez k\u00e9pest.\u00a0 Mindez pedig azt jelenti, hogy az \u00e1gr\u00f3l-\u00e1gra, munkahelyr\u0151l munkahelyre r\u00f6pd\u00f6s\u0151k munkahelyet keres\u0151k tere sz\u0171k\u00fclni fog. Egyes ter\u00fcleteken, p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul az aut\u00f3iparban m\u00e1r bejelentettek l\u00e9tsz\u00e1mcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9seket. \u00cdgy egy \u00e1rufelt\u00f6lt\u0151 nehezebben fog tudni m\u00e1s \u00e1gazatban seg\u00e9dmunk\u00e1t v\u00e1llalni, ahol pedig le\u00e9p\u00edt\u00e9s lesz, nem lesz rest az elk\u00fcld\u00f6tt dolgoz\u00f3 boltos munk\u00e1t is v\u00e1llalni, ha \u00e9ppen nem lesz sok m\u00e1s v\u00e1laszt\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>m\u00e1sodik int\u0151 jel<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Az elm\u00falt \u00e9vekben az\u00e9rt\u00a0olvadozott a boltos l\u00e9tsz\u00e1m, a foglalkoztatottak sz\u00e1m\u00e1t n\u00e9zve. A nagyobb l\u00e1ncok folyamatosan korszer\u0171s\u00edtettek, terjeszkedtek is, k\u00f6zben pedig a kisboltok sz\u00e1ma cs\u00f6kkent. A l\u00e9tsz\u00e1mcs\u00f6kken\u00e9s is a kisboltosok t\u00e9rveszt\u00e9se els\u0151sorban:<\/p>\n<table style=\"font-weight: 400;\" width=\"761\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>boltos vil\u00e1g<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2015<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2016<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2017<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2018<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>2019<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>foglalkoztatottak<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>369<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>368<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>368<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>361<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>353<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>ebb\u0151l\u00a0alkalmazott<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>316<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>314<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>319<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>315<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>308<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"6\">KSH,\u00a0<strong>foglalkoztatottak sz\u00e1ma, \u00e9rt\u00e9k: ezer f\u0151,<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u00e9ves adatok, kiv\u00e9ve 2019<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A nemr\u00e9giben szigor\u00edtott pl\u00e1zastop tov\u00e1bbi gyors terjeszked\u00e9st m\u00e1r nem enged, \u00edgy err\u0151l az oldalr\u00f3l is enyh\u00fclhet a munkaer\u0151hi\u00e1ny szor\u00edt\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>harmadik int\u0151 jel<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">H\u00e1t az\u00e9rt a b\u00e9rek sz\u00e9pen emelkedtek a boltos vil\u00e1gban is:<\/p>\n<table style=\"font-weight: 400;\" width=\"425\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"202\"><strong>boltos b\u00e9rek<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>2016<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"78\"><strong>2017<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>2018<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>2019<\/strong><\/td>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"99\"><strong>2019\/2016<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"202\"><strong>kisker<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>194<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"78\"><strong>225<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>252<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>283<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"53\"><strong>+ 89\u00a0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"46\"><strong>46%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"202\"><strong>elad\u00f3k<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>152<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"78\"><strong>182<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>215<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"82\"><strong>251<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"53\"><strong>\u00a0+ 99<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"46\"><strong>65%<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\" width=\"625\">KSH, kisker: fizikai \u00e9s szellemi dolgoz\u00f3k egy\u00fctt, elad\u00f3k: fizikai dolgoz\u00f3k, havi brutt\u00f3 \u00e1tlagkereset,\u00a0<strong>\u00e9rt\u00e9k: ezer forint,\u00a0<\/strong>4 f\u0151n\u00e9l nagyobb v\u00e1llalkoz\u00e1sok, teljes munkaid\u0151s\u00f6k, 2019: \u00faj m\u00f3dszertan, elt\u00e9r\u0151 \u00e9vk\u00f6zi havi adatok<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Igaz ugyanakkor, hogy a legut\u00f3bbi adatok szerint a fizikai dolgoz\u00f3k k\u00f6r\u00e9ben a nemzetgazdas\u00e1gi \u00e1tlag 264 ezer forint volt, a boltos kiskereskedelemben pedig 251 ezer forint, de az oll\u00f3 z\u00e1rult valamelyest. Kor\u00e1bban 20 ezer forint felett volt a boltos vil\u00e1g elad\u00f3inak b\u00e9relmarad\u00e1sa.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>negyedik int\u0151 jel<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A szakmai \u00e9s f\u00f6ldrajzi ter\u00fcleti b\u00e9roll\u00f3 m\u00e9g mindig nagy a boltos vil\u00e1gon bel\u00fcl, 90-100 ezer forint k\u00f6rny\u00e9k\u00e9n j\u00e1r mostans\u00e1g, de nagyobb h\u00e1tr\u00e1nyban f\u0151leg a kisboltosok vannak. El\u0151rel\u00e1that\u00f3an ez a k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9g is sz\u0171k\u00fclni fog.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hozz\u00e1tartozik a k\u00e9phez az is, hogy sokat tisztult a boltos munkaer\u0151piac az online kassza, \u00e9s b\u00e1rmilyen meglep\u0151, de az online sz\u00e1mla miatt is. A nagyobb tiszta forgalomhoz pedig t\u00f6bb dolgoz\u00f3 duk\u00e1l, de az alkalmazottak k\u00f6r\u00e9ben el is v\u00e1rj\u00e1k t\u00f6bben, mint kor\u00e1bban a tiszta foglalkoztat\u00e1st. Nem v\u00e9letlen, hogy sok az olyan \u00e1ll\u00e1shirdet\u00e9s, ahol bejelentett munkalehet\u0151s\u00e9get k\u00edn\u00e1lnak, nem is kevesen.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Nem v\u00e9letlen\u00fcl. Sokat nyomnak a m\u00e9rlegen a munkak\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00e9nyek is, f\u0151leg a m\u00e9g mindig er\u0151s fluktu\u00e1ci\u00f3, boltok k\u00f6z\u00f6tti munkaer\u0151 v\u00e1ndorl\u00e1s miatt. Ezen a ter\u00fcleten is nagy a t\u00fcleked\u00e9s a munkaad\u00f3 boltosok k\u00f6z\u00f6tt, ki mit k\u00edn\u00e1l.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>\u00f6t\u00f6dik int\u0151 jel<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Egyre er\u0151sebb a webpiac, ott pedig kisebb a munkaer\u0151 ig\u00e9nye az \u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9si csatorn\u00e1nak. J\u00f6nnek az \u00f6nkiszolg\u00e1l\u00f3 kassz\u00e1k, az elektronikus polcc\u00edmk\u00e9k \u00e9s m\u00e1s digit\u00e1lis megold\u00e1sok, melyek nyom\u00e1n kevesebb boltos dolgoz\u00f3 kell.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(<a href=\"http:\/\/blokkk.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=http:\/\/blokkk.com&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1573115367655000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGduC4KLwi9R7chUuaWZa42jAu9yw\">blokkk.com<\/a>)<\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post2\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A boltos elad\u00f3vad\u00e1szat nyom\u00e1n. L\u00e9tsz\u00e1mhi\u00e1ny lesz persze, az egyik pillanatr\u00f3l a m\u00e1sikra nem sz\u0171nik meg, de fojtogat\u00f3 ereje gyeng\u00fclni fog. M\u00e9g sz\u00e9p, hogy nem kar\u00e1csony el\u0151tt, de ut\u00e1na van r\u00e1 es\u00e9ly. Cs\u00f6kkent a boltos vil\u00e1g b\u00e9relmarad\u00e1sa, m\u00e1s \u00e1gazatokban esett az \u00fcres \u00e1ll\u00e1shelyek sz\u00e1ma, terjednek az \u00f6nkikassz\u00e1k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[136,424],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121090"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=121090"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121090\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":121091,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/121090\/revisions\/121091"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=121090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=121090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=121090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}