{"id":112025,"date":"2018-12-19T22:19:10","date_gmt":"2018-12-19T21:19:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=112025"},"modified":"2018-12-19T22:19:10","modified_gmt":"2018-12-19T21:19:10","slug":"kamatot-emelt-a-fed-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/kamatot-emelt-a-fed-5\/","title":{"rendered":"Kamatot emelt a Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Kamatot emelt az amerikai jegybank szerep\u00e9t bet\u00f6lt\u0151 sz\u00f6vets\u00e9gi tartal\u00e9kbankrendszer szerd\u00e1n (Fed), id\u00e9n imm\u00e1r negyedik, 2015 decembere, a kamatemel\u00e9si ciklus elindul\u00e1sa \u00f3ta pedig kilencedik alkalommal.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>A Federal Reserve monet\u00e1ris d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3 test\u00fclete, a ny\u00edltpiaci bizotts\u00e1g (FOMC) egyhang\u00fa d\u00f6nt\u00e9ssel, a piaci v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sokkal \u00f6sszhangban 25 b\u00e1zisponttal, 2,25-2,50 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra emelte az ir\u00e1nyad\u00f3 kamats\u00e1vot.<br \/>\nA test\u00fclet a mostanit megel\u0151z\u0151en szeptemberben emelte ugyancsak 25 b\u00e1zisponttal a kamats\u00e1v sz\u00e9leit, novemberi \u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9n pedig v\u00e1ltozatlanul hagyta.<br \/>\nA Fed a kamatemel\u0151 d\u00f6nt\u00e9s indokl\u00e1s\u00e1ban egy\u00fattal m\u00e9rs\u00e9kelte gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9si progn\u00f3zis\u00e1t \u00e9s infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s\u00e1t, valamint enyh\u00edtett a kor\u00e1bban jelzett monet\u00e1ris szigor\u00edt\u00e1si p\u00e1lya meredeks\u00e9g\u00e9n.<br \/>\nA Fed d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3inak jelz\u00e9sei alapj\u00e1n a piac eddig tov\u00e1bbi h\u00e1rom kamatemel\u00e9st \u00e1razott be a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vre vonatkoz\u00f3an, a mostani indokl\u00e1s alapj\u00e1n azonban k\u00e9t kamatemel\u00e9st lehet val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00edteni 2019-re.<br \/>\nA kamatemel\u00e9s megfelelt ugyan a piaci v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1soknak, de szembe ment Donald Trump eln\u00f6k t\u00f6bb alkalommal is kinyilv\u00e1n\u00edtott akarat\u00e1val. Az eln\u00f6k gazdas\u00e1g\u00f6szt\u00f6nz\u0151 c\u00e9llal szeretn\u00e9 ugyanis alacsonyan tartani a kamatokat.<br \/>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post2\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\nUgyanakkor a Fed illet\u00e9kesei is tettek m\u00e1r utal\u00e1st az elm\u00falt hetekben-h\u00f3napokban a monet\u00e1ris szigor\u00edt\u00e1si p\u00e1lya meredeks\u00e9g\u00e9nek a cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s\u00e9re. Az el\u0151z\u0151 k\u00e9t kamatd\u00f6nt\u0151 \u00fcl\u00e9s, a szeptemberi \u00e9s a novemberi indokl\u00e1s\u00e1b\u00f3l \u00e9s jegyz\u0151k\u00f6nyv\u00e9b\u0151l m\u00e1r a lass\u00edt\u00e1si sz\u00e1nd\u00e9k jelei voltak kiolvashat\u00f3k.<br \/>\nA Fed az idei GDP-n\u00f6veked\u00e9si progn\u00f3zis\u00e1t 3,0 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra cs\u00f6kkentette a szeptemberben jelzett 3,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l, a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vit pedig 2,3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l. 2020-as \u00e9s 2021-es n\u00f6veked\u00e9si progn\u00f3zis\u00e1t v\u00e1ltozatlanul 2,0 \u00e9s 1,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon hagyta a Fed.<br \/>\nIdei \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vi infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1s\u00e1t 1,9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra cs\u00f6kkentette 2,1 \u00e9s 2,0 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l a Fed, az elk\u00f6vetkez\u0151 k\u00e9t \u00e9vit pedig meghagyta 2,1 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon.<br \/>\nAz idei \u00e9s a j\u00f6v\u0151 \u00e9vre v\u00e1rt munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9gi r\u00e1t\u00e1n nem v\u00e1ltoztatott a Fed, meghagyta 3,7 \u00e9s 3,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kon, a 2020-ast azonban 3,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra emelte 3,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l, a 2021-est pedig 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra 3,7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kr\u00f3l.\u00a0<a title=\"Hely megnyit\u00e1sa\" href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/monetary20181219a1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy\/files\/monetary20181219a1.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;(MTI)<\/p><div id=\"gazda-3251905198\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kamatot emelt az amerikai jegybank szerep\u00e9t bet\u00f6lt\u0151 sz\u00f6vets\u00e9gi tartal\u00e9kbankrendszer szerd\u00e1n (Fed), id\u00e9n imm\u00e1r negyedik, 2015 decembere, a kamatemel\u00e9si ciklus elindul\u00e1sa \u00f3ta pedig kilencedik alkalommal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1001003,"featured_media":18434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[146,246],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112025"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1001003"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=112025"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112025\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":112026,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/112025\/revisions\/112026"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18434"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=112025"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=112025"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=112025"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}