{"id":10694,"date":"2013-06-26T16:22:55","date_gmt":"2013-06-26T14:22:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stockportal.hu\/?p=10694"},"modified":"2013-06-26T16:22:55","modified_gmt":"2013-06-26T14:22:55","slug":"szazadveg-a-konjunktura-tovabbi-javulasara-utal-a-szigma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/szazadveg-a-konjunktura-tovabbi-javulasara-utal-a-szigma\/","title":{"rendered":"Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g: a konjunkt\u00fara tov\u00e1bbi javul\u00e1s\u00e1ra utal a SZIGMA"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A magyar gazdas\u00e1gi konjunkt\u00fara tov\u00e1bbi javul\u00e1s\u00e1ra, a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s gyorsul\u00e1s\u00e1ra utal a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Index a Gazdas\u00e1gi Momentum Alakul\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l (SZIGMA) konjunkt\u00faramutat\u00f3, amelyet szerd\u00e1n publik\u00e1lt el\u0151sz\u00f6r a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3.<!--more--><\/strong>A gazdas\u00e1g jelenlegi \u00e1llapot\u00e1t t\u00fckr\u00f6z\u0151 SZIGMA CI \u00e1prilisban 0,02 pontra javult a m\u00e1rciusi -0,05 pontr\u00f3l, m\u00edg a 9 h\u00f3nap m\u00falva v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 konjunkt\u00far\u00e1t el\u0151rejelz\u0151 SZIGMA LEAD mutat\u00f3 1,46 pontr\u00f3l 1,27 pontra s\u00fcllyedt.<br \/>\nA mutat\u00f3k negat\u00edv \u00e9rt\u00e9kei a hossz\u00fa t\u00e1v\u00fa trendhez k\u00e9pest lassabb, m\u00edg pozit\u00edv \u00e9rt\u00e9kei ann\u00e1l gyorsabb n\u00f6veked\u00e9st jeleznek.<br \/>\nA jelenlegi helyzet mutat\u00f3ja 2011. m\u00e1rcius ut\u00e1n el\u0151sz\u00f6r k\u00faszott pozit\u00edv tartom\u00e1nyba: legut\u00f3bb tavaly augusztusban volt m\u00e9lyponton (-0,78 pontos \u00e9rt\u00e9k mellett), m\u00edg el\u0151tte 2010 m\u00e1jus\u00e1ban tet\u0151z\u00f6tt (1,29 ponton).<br \/>\nAz el\u0151retekint\u0151 mutat\u00f3 a janu\u00e1ri &#8211; k\u00f6zel h\u00e1rom\u00e9ves cs\u00facsot jelent\u0151 &#8211; 1,77 pontr\u00f3l folyamatosan cs\u00f6kken, \u00e1m tov\u00e1bbra is mark\u00e1ns trendfeletti n\u00f6veked\u00e9st jelez.<br \/>\nBarcza Gy\u00f6rgy, a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 vezet\u0151 elemz\u0151je a konjunkt\u00faramutat\u00f3 ismertet\u00e9sekor jelezte: a mutat\u00f3 szerint er\u0151teljes gyorsul\u00e1s el\u0151tt \u00e1ll a magyar gazdas\u00e1g, b\u00e1r a 9 h\u00f3napos horizonton a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s negyed\u00e9ves \u00fcteme m\u00e9rs\u00e9kl\u0151dhet. Ha puszt\u00e1n a nyers mutat\u00f3 eredm\u00e9ny\u00e9t n\u00e9zz\u00fck, akkor a m\u00e1sodik \u00e9s harmadik negyed\u00e9vben j\u00f3kora pozit\u00edv meglepet\u00e9s lehet a GDP v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s\u00e1ban &#8211; tette hozz\u00e1.<br \/>\nA k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1sz szerint a b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9st t\u00e1mogatja a mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1g kedvez\u0151bb teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye, az \u00e9p\u00edt\u0151ipar fellend\u00fcl\u00e9se \u00e9s az aut\u00f3ipar trendszer\u0171 b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9se.<br \/>\nA Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g &#8211; \u00e1ltaluk &#8222;\u00f3vatosnak&#8221; \u00e9s &#8222;konzervat\u00edvnak&#8221; nevezett &#8211; el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint id\u00e9n 0,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, j\u00f6v\u0151re 1,7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151het a brutt\u00f3 hazai term\u00e9k.<br \/>\nA kutat\u00f3int\u00e9zet \u00e1ltal el\u0151sz\u00f6r publik\u00e1lt konjunkt\u00faramutat\u00f3val a n\u00f6veked\u00e9si ciklusokat k\u00f6vetik, k\u00f6zel 40 k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 alapadat felhaszn\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1val.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p><div id=\"gazda-529005803\" class=\"gazda-tartalomban gazda-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A magyar gazdas\u00e1gi konjunkt\u00fara tov\u00e1bbi javul\u00e1s\u00e1ra, a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s gyorsul\u00e1s\u00e1ra utal a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Index a Gazdas\u00e1gi Momentum Alakul\u00e1s\u00e1r\u00f3l (SZIGMA) konjunkt\u00faramutat\u00f3, amelyet szerd\u00e1n publik\u00e1lt el\u0151sz\u00f6r a Sz\u00e1zadv\u00e9g Gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[19],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10694"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10694"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10694\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10696,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10694\/revisions\/10696"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}