{"id":102394,"date":"2018-01-29T07:45:47","date_gmt":"2018-01-29T06:45:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/?p=102394"},"modified":"2018-01-29T07:45:47","modified_gmt":"2018-01-29T06:45:47","slug":"gki-38-szazalekkal-nohet-iden-a-gdp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/gki-38-szazalekkal-nohet-iden-a-gdp\/","title":{"rendered":"GKI: 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151het id\u00e9n a GDP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Id\u00e9n 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9sre, gyorsul\u00f3 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra \u00e9s visszaes\u0151 beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sokra sz\u00e1m\u00edt a GKI Gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 Zrt.<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post1\"><div id=\"gazdasagportal.hu_fullbanner_wideboard\"><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>    A gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 MTI-hez eljuttatott k\u00f6zlem\u00e9ny\u00e9ben 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra becs\u00fcli a tavalyi GDP-n\u00f6veked\u00e9st \u00e9s id\u00e9n is ekkora b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9sre sz\u00e1m\u00edt. A n\u00f6veked\u00e9s m\u00e9rt\u00e9ke &#8211; mint \u00edrt\u00e1k &#8211; meghaladja az EU 2,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k alatti \u00e1tlag\u00e1t, de a r\u00e9gi\u00f3ban k\u00f6zepesnek sz\u00e1m\u00edt.<br \/>\n    A GKI hangs\u00falyozza, hogy az \u00e9p\u00edt\u0151iparban nyilv\u00e1nval\u00f3an megism\u00e9telhetetlen a tavalyi majdnem 30 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s, az ipar sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra pedig az aut\u00f3ipar mintegy k\u00e9t \u00e9s f\u00e9l \u00e9ve tart\u00f3 stagn\u00e1l\u00e1sa jelent kock\u00e1zatot. Az \u00e9p\u00edt\u0151ipar idei b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9t 10 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra, az ipari termel\u00e9s n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9t 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra, m\u00edg a tavalyit 5,5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra becs\u00fclik.<br \/>\n    Visszaes\u00e9st v\u00e1rnak a beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sokban is &#8211; ennek m\u00e9rt\u00e9k\u00e9t tavaly 20 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra, id\u00e9n 9 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra teszik -, a kiskereskedelmi forgalom pedig 4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal emelkedhet id\u00e9n az 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kra becs\u00fclhet\u0151 tavalyi b\u0151v\u00fcl\u00e9s ut\u00e1n &#8211; k\u00f6z\u00f6lt\u00e9k.<br \/>\n    Az eur\u00f3pai m\u00f3dszertan szerinti GDP-ar\u00e1nyos deficit a GKI szerint tavaly 2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k k\u00f6r\u00fcl alakult, ami alacsonyabb az el\u0151ir\u00e1nyzottn\u00e1l, de magasabb az EU \u00e1tlag\u00e1ban v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 1,2 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos hi\u00e1nyn\u00e1l. Az \u00e1llamh\u00e1ztart\u00e1s idei p\u00e9nzforgalmi hi\u00e1ny\u00e1t a tavalyi fel\u00e9re, ezer milli\u00e1rd forint k\u00f6r\u00fclire becs\u00fclik.<br \/>\n<div class=\"ads-in-post2\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"fluid\"\r\n     data-ad-layout-key=\"-6t+ed+2i-1n-4w\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1959107119989764\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4008251320\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div>\n    Az \u00e9ves infl\u00e1ci\u00f3 megk\u00f6zel\u00edtheti a 3 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kot, mik\u00f6zben az EU-ban nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 gyorsul\u00e1s &#8211; \u00edrt\u00e1k. Hozz\u00e1tett\u00e9k, hogy a l\u00e1tv\u00e1nyosan gyors b\u00e9rki\u00e1raml\u00e1s k\u00f6lts\u00e9g- \u00e9s keresleti oldalr\u00f3l is \u00e1rnyom\u00e1st jelent, hat\u00e1sa azonban alig jelent meg az \u00e1rakban.<br \/>\n    Becsl\u00e9s\u00fck szerint a munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9g a tavalyi utols\u00f3 negyed\u00e9vben 4 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k al\u00e1 cs\u00f6kkenhetett \u00e9s id\u00e9n is ehhez hasonl\u00f3, 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9gre sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak. Hozz\u00e1tett\u00e9k, hogy a GKI felm\u00e9r\u00e9se szerint a c\u00e9gek &#8211; k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az ipari v\u00e1llalatok &#8211; a n\u00f6veked\u00e9s f\u0151 akad\u00e1ly\u00e1nak a munkaer\u0151 \u00e9s f\u0151leg a szakk\u00e9pzett dolgoz\u00f3k hi\u00e1ny\u00e1t tekintik.<br \/>\n    A brutt\u00f3 \u00e1tlagkeresetek az el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s szerint id\u00e9n legal\u00e1bb 7 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, a re\u00e1lkeresetek 4-5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal emelkednek. A tavalyi 15 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kosn\u00e1l l\u00e9nyegesen alacsonyabb, 8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos minim\u00e1lb\u00e9r-emel\u00e9s kisebb nyom\u00e1st gyakorol a b\u00e9remel\u00e9sekre, de a munkaer\u0151hi\u00e1ny \u00e9s a v\u00e1laszt\u00e1si \u00e9v b\u00e9rfelhajt\u00f3 hat\u00e1sa tov\u00e1bbra is jelent\u0151s &#8211; tett\u00e9k hozz\u00e1.<br \/>\n(MTI)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Id\u00e9n 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kos gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9sre, gyorsul\u00f3 infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra \u00e9s visszaes\u0151 beruh\u00e1z\u00e1sokra sz\u00e1m\u00edt a GKI Gazdas\u00e1gkutat\u00f3 Zrt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[4,19],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102394"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102394"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102394\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":102395,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102394\/revisions\/102395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gazdasagportal.hu\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}